Thursday, March 28, 2013

Blog 7: Final Paper Preview


Hello again! Throughout the research that I’ve done, I’ve decided to move away from the vaccines, and focus on another topic: Smoking in pregnant woman, or tobacco usage while pregnant. Approximately 13% of women reported smoking during the last three moths of pregnancy. Also women who smoked three months before the pregnancy, 45% quit during, and among other women who quit, 50% relapsed within six months.  The problem definition that I will focus on is:

Tobacco usage while pregnant is prone to a more likely preterm birth, Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS).

Questions that arise from this problem definition: why are they at risk? Why is tobacco so dangerous? Why is the vulnerable child unhealthy? What are the consequences? And so forth. These questions and the problem definition lead to surveillance, its determinants, and the magnitude of the problem.

Surveillance:
Is the monitoring of the behavior, activities, or other changing information of a suspected activity. In the world of public health, there are two types: passive and active. Passive surveillance is the issue brought up to gather data from all reporting health care workers, such as communicable disease. On the other hand, active surveillance provides a stimulus to health care workers in the form of individual feedback or other incentives and they actually go find cases requiring more time and resources.

Before smoking can be eradicated or not, health concerns must be listed and analyzed. The main surveillance that is used for smoking while pregnant is surveying. Major surveillance systems in the division included Pregnancy Risk Assessment Monitoring System (PRAMS), National ART Surveillance System (NASS) and the Pregnancy Mortality Surveillance (PMSS). PRAMS is a surveillance project from the CDC and state health departments that collect state specific, population based data on maternal attitudes and experience before, during and after pregnancy.

Example of study that was done with passive surveillance, between the years of 2000-2008 has shown that there’s a prevalence estimate and 95% confidence intervals were calculate for smoking during the three months prior to pregnancy. Focusing on the United States area, , the highest women between the ages of 20 and 24 had a 19.3% and less than 12 years of education 22.5% or were on Medicaid insured during prenatal care 22.1%.  (Reference: http://www.cdc.gov/prams/TobaccoandPrams.htm).

An example of a survey that was done in 2008:












Percentage of mothers that smokes in three months before pregnant.











Percentage of mothers that smoked in the last three months during pregnant.

The studies above:

Based on the statistics, Sudden Infant Death Syndrome, or SIDS, is defined as the sudden death of an infant less than one year of age that cannot be explained after a thorough investigation is conducted such as autopsy, examination of death scene and a review of clinical history. IT IS THE LEADING CAYSE AMONG INFANTS AGED between 1 – 12 months, and third leading cause in overall infant mortality. Even though, there’s a reduce risk of 50%, it is still a priority.

States: Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico New Hampshire, Wisconsin.





SUID Case Registry State Grantees, 2012
The figure above, it is a state based surveillance system that supplements current vital statistics based surveillance methods. It builds upon the National Center for Child Death Review (NCCDR) system.


Once the surveillance is done, it is shown that surveying is not a great way to ask pregnant women if they smoke, because it has shown that some lie that they don’t because they feel embarrassed.

Once the magnitude of the SIDS is clarified and the surveillance of smoking while pregnant is taken into account, key determinants, such as indirect indicator and direct indicators. In public health a determinant in general is an influencing element or factor in a problem. Related to my problem definition, determinant would relate to an increase or decrease in the likelihood of smoking while pregnant.

The problem from these statistics is may have taken a long time to review the case and data entry. Also Improve Data Quality by implementing efforts to reduce missing or unknown information.

Key determinants: References (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11733454 )
1)   Educational level (12 years only)
2)   Low social class, socioeconomic; environment
3)   Single mothers
4)   Smoking parents

These key determinants below are referred as indirect or direct.
1)   The number of years of education of a mother is also a determinant as to whether she will smoke during pregnancy. Those women twenty or older with a college degree are more likely to not smoke during pregnancy. However as it was read above, if they had less than 12 years of education, 23.7% of women will smoke during pregnancy, having the highest rate and prone for their children to develop SIDS syndrome, correlating to ages between these women 15 to 19 years old.

2)   Low social class, or socioeconomic. Based on a multivariate analysis, it was shown that smoking was greatly related to this socio economic status. Women in the lowest family income had the highest rates of cigarette use before, during, and after the pregnancy.  References:  http://www.childtrendsdatabank.org/pdf/11_PDF.pdf

3)   Single mothers as well are more prone to cigarettes due to stress in the environment and attending prenatal classes. It is an indirect determinant, meaning that 61.6% of smokers compared with 85.6% of non -smokers during pregnancy attend the classes. This means that the mother’s behavior or action is shown here. References:  http://www.biomedcentral.com/content/pdf/1471-2393-10-24.pdf


4)   These mothers, that had a consistency in their family with smoking, are more likely to smoke. A Student Health Survey in 2006 was conducted by the Health promotion Board, showing that a significantly higher percentage of youth smokers (59%) had at least one parent who smoked, as compared to nonsmokers (34%).


INTERESTING Statistics: SIDS
1)   2,226 à the number of infants between the ages of one month to one year that passed away because of SIDS. It has an amazing strength since it was vital statistics shown by the National Center for Health Statistics.
2)   Babies of mothers who smoke during pregnancy have a 3 times greater risk for SIDS. Babies whom breath secondhand smoke have2.5 times greater risk of SIDS.
3)   40 à the number of time of greater risk of SIDS a baby has if he/she sleeps in an adult bed
4)   African American Babies have twice a greater risk
5)   Studies show that for infants who received any breast milk for any duration, the likelihood of SIDS was 60% lower.




Also interesting fact: worldwide, 250 million women use tobacco daily, and according from the 14th World Conference on Tobacco or Health held in 2009 in Mumbai. (Reference: http://healthland.time.com/2011/07/12/why-its-bad-to-smoke-while-pregnant/)

2 comments:

  1. At first glance, I see that amount of references and citations you have, and they seem detailed in both quality and quantity. The problem itself is something that is very serious, and I am interested to find out if further research supports your proposal even more. Surveillance is the most important part in this situation, and using the information described above, a difference could definitely be made if no bias presents itself, which as you stated above will mostly likely happen. Another interesting part of your blog is the geography behind some of your statistics. The only suggestion I would make is to possibly find a way to limit bias during surveillance. That could be impossible, Im not sure, but I think that could help the process. Overall, this is a well prepared blog and you have clearly demonstrated in depth research on the subject.

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  2. Tobacco usage while pregnant is prone to a more likely preterm birth, Sudden Infant Death Syndrome (SIDS).

    Problem Definition:
    1) A problem statement should not imply causality. By this I mean that when I read your problem statement, it implies that tobacco usage causes preterm births.

    A problem statement simply states the problem as you see it.
    For example, consider:
    Increased risk of preterm births among pregnant smokers in the U.S. OR
    Increased risk of sudden infant death syndrome among U.S. pregnant smokers OR
    High risk of preterm births among pregnant smokers in the U.S. OR
    High risk of preterm births and sudden infant death syndrome among U.S. pregnant smokers…

    The above examples simply state what the data show.

    2) The other thing to think about is if you want to look at both preterm births and SIDS or one of these. It may get really burdensome as you write your paper to reference both conditions along the way, which may affect the quality of the paper.
    However, this should not discourage you from writing about both conditions.

    Surveillance:
    I like that you provided examples of passive surveillance methods used to collect data on smoking among the population you are looking at and identifying that the information provided may not be accurate due to recall bias and things like that.

    Magnitude of the problem:
    For both preterm births and SIDS, I did not get a real sense of the magnitude of the problem. You mention looking at statistics relating to smoking during the three months prior to getting pregnant (for preterm births). The data you quote should relate directly to the problem you state in your problem definition. In this case, the problem is about preterm births in pregnant smokers so the data should primarily be about the rates or preterm births among pregnant smokers not prior to pregnancy. And it would be good to show these rates comparing them to those among non-smokers.

    Indicators of the problem:
    You talk about determinants in your blog, which will come later in the blog assignments. For this exercise, you were required to discuss direct and indirect indicators of the problem, not key determinants.

    Some examples of direct indicators in this case might be:
    - The percentage of preterm births/SIDS among pregnant smokers
    - The ratio of preterm births/SIDS among pregnant smokers vs. non-smoking pregnant women.

    Indirect indicators may be:
    -Looking at data that compares length of hospital stay at birth among children born to smokers vs. non-smokers
    -Hospital readmissions for children born to smokers vs. non-smokers and then discussing why they were readmitted (in this case, relating it to the fact they were born prematurely consequently developing certain complications that necessitated readmission)

    If the data you quote is all survey data, remember to discuss both strengths and weaknesses of survey data. You do mention a weakness of survey data. The other thing to think about are the strengths of survey data, for example that it is a very direct measure, relatively inexpensive way to collect data, etc

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